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Interactive: From zero votes to QB1 — how Drew Mestemaker became the first quarterback in the 2027 draft race, step by step

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In August no NFL scout picked Drew Mestemaker as the first quarterback in the 2027 draft. By Halloween, 17 of 25 did. The Oregon upset, seven straight 300-yard games, a five-touchdown loss at Iowa State and what the mock drafts say, step by step.

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Drew Mestemaker, wearing No. 11 for North Texas, drops back to pass at Rice Stadium in November 2025.
Drew Mestemaker (No. 11) drops back for North Texas at Rice in November 2025, before his move to Oklahoma State. Photo by 2C2K Photography, CC-BY-4.0, resized.
Drew Mestemaker drops back to pass for North TexasDrew Mestemaker (No. 11) for North Texas at Rice, November 2025. Photo by 2C2K Photography, resized.
Interactive · 2027 NFL Draft

From zero votes to QB1: Drew Mestemaker's rise, step by step

In August, not one of 25 NFL scouts picked him. By Halloween, 17 did. How an Oklahoma State quarterback who never started in high school became the first passer in nearly every 2027 mock draft.
Boone Pickens Stadium at nightBoone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater. Photo by XStewart2007, resized.
Chapter 1

The quarterback nobody voted for

Drew Mestemaker did not start at quarterback for his high school varsity. He walked on at North Texas, became the starter there, and in 2026 followed coach Eric Morris to Oklahoma State, one of 88 new players on a roster that had gone 1-11 the year before.

In August, a panel of 25 NFL scouts and executives was asked who would be the first quarterback taken in the 2027 draft. Oregon’s Dante Moore got 14 votes. Mestemaker got none.

August poll: votes for the first QB drafted (of 25)

Dante Moore, Oregon14
Arch Manning, Texas7
LaNorris Sellers, S. Carolina2
Sam Leavitt, LSU1
CJ Carr, Notre Dame1
0August votes for Mestemaker
0New players on Oklahoma State's 2026 roster
0Cowboys' wins in 2025, against 11 losses
Dante Moore at Big Ten media daysDante Moore at Big Ten media days in Chicago, July 2026. Photo by Bobak Ha'Eri, resized.
Chapter 2

The night in Stillwater

On Sept. 12, No. 6 Oregon came to Stillwater as a 23½-point favorite. On Oklahoma State’s first snap, Mestemaker ran 75 yards.

He finished with 317 passing yards, two touchdown passes and 109 rushing yards, and with Oregon ahead 31-30 early in the fourth quarter he drove the Cowboys 75 yards and leaped over defenders for a 10-yard touchdown. Oklahoma State won 39-31, ending a 21-game losing streak against FBS teams.

0Passing yards vs. Oregon
0Rushing yards, a career high
0Oklahoma State's total yards, to Oregon's 281
0Points Oregon was favored by

Moore went 14 of 21 for 191 yards that day. Two weeks later, on Sept. 26 at USC, he took the illegal hit that gave him the concussion expected to end his season. Scouts now point to the Oregon game as the turning point for the whole quarterback class.

Drew Mestemaker throwsDrew Mestemaker at North Texas, 2025. Photo by 2C2K Photography, resized.
Chapter 3

Seven straight 300-yard games

The Oregon game was Mestemaker’s first 300-yard game as a Cowboy. He has not had a game under 300 since.

Through seven games he had completed 157 of 239 passes for 2,326 yards, 20 touchdowns and six interceptions. In a 57-24 homecoming win over Colorado he threw for 386 yards and four touchdowns as Oklahoma State scored the last 37 points.

0Straight games with 300+ yards and 2+ TD passes
0Career 300-yard games
0Passing yards through eight games
0Touchdown passes, with 7 interceptions
  1. B.J. Symons, Texas Tech, seven straight
  2. Graham Harrell, Texas Tech, does it twice
  3. Bryce Petty, Baylor
  4. Will Grier, West Virginia
  5. Mestemaker ties the longest single-season streak in Big 12 history, and matches Mason Rudolph's school record of seven straight 300-yard games
Chapter 4

Five touchdowns and a loss

The streak reached seven on Halloween night in Ames, the same day the scouts’ midseason poll was published. Mestemaker went 27 of 42 for 323 yards, five touchdowns and one interception at Iowa State.

Oklahoma State trailed 38-28 going into the fourth quarter. He led three touchdown drives, the last ending in a 7-yard shovel pass to Wyatt Young for a 49-48 lead with 53 seconds left.

Young was flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct on the play, so the Cowboys kicked off from their own 20. Iowa State needed one 33-yard completion to reach field-goal range, and Kyle Konrardy made a 34-yarder as time expired. Final: Iowa State 51, Oklahoma State 49.

0Combined points, a series record
0Combined yards
0Seconds left when OSU took the lead
0Touchdown passes, tying his career best
Darian Mensah, then at TulaneDarian Mensah, then at Tulane, against Army in December 2024. U.S. Army photo.
Chapter 5

Seventeen of 25

Reporter Pete Thamel asked the same kind of panel again at midseason. Seventeen of the 25 scouts and executives picked Mestemaker, the most votes any quarterback has received in the poll’s three years. Moore fell from 14 votes to one.

“Mestemaker seems like the only real choice at this point.”
— An NFL scout, in the midseason poll

Midseason poll: votes for the first QB drafted (of 25)

Drew Mestemaker, Oklahoma St.17
CJ Carr, Notre Dame4
Darian Mensah, Miami3
Dante Moore, Oregon1

Mensah is the other riser. Entering Saturday he was completing 81.4% of his passes, four points above the FBS single-season record of 77.4% that Bo Nix set at Oregon in 2023, with 22 touchdowns and one interception. He threw three more in a 38-35 win at North Carolina that kept Miami 8-0.

Arch Manning drops back for TexasArch Manning drops back for Texas, September 2024. Photo by Johntex, resized.
Chapter 6

What the mock drafts say

The draft boards moved with the scouts. In eight full first-round mocks published from Oct. 23 to 28, Mestemaker went in all eight, never later than seventh, and was the first quarterback taken in seven. His average slot improved from 6.4 in the previous count to 3.4.

Average pick when taken in Round 1 (eight mocks, Oct. 23-28)

Drew Mestemaker3.4
Darian Mensah7.7
CJ Carr9.3
Dante Moore13.0
Arch Manning13.7
Trinidad Chambliss19.3

Manning, second in the August poll, got no votes at midseason and was left out of Round 1 in five of the eight mocks. Scouts say he could still play his way back, or return to college.

“Before the season, this class was going to rival 1983.”
— An NFL scout, on a class that has not lived up to the summer hype
Notre Dame StadiumNotre Dame Stadium in South Bend. Photo by PROjck_photos, resized.
Chapter 7

Not 1983, but a clear No. 1

In 1983, five quarterbacks went in the first round. The last two drafts had two each, and both times a quarterback went first overall.

  1. Five first-round quarterbacks, the benchmark scouts mentioned in the summer
  2. Cam Ward No. 1, Jaxson Dart No. 25
  3. Fernando Mendoza No. 1, Ty Simpson No. 13
  4. Mestemaker is the favorite to be the first quarterback taken
0Career starts he is projected to have by season's end
0Pounds, at a listed 6-foot-4

Inexperience is the question teams will ask about Mestemaker before April: 27 starts, none of them in high school. The scouts’ answer so far is the arm. Oklahoma State, now 5-3, plays at Kansas State on Saturday, Nov. 7.

The same day, Notre Dame hosts Miami, CJ Carr against Darian Mensah, the two quarterbacks scouts say have the most to gain from a long College Football Playoff run.

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