Three more full first-round 2027 mock drafts came out on Thursday, a day after the three we compared on Wednesday. Dalton Wasserman, Connor Rogers and Vinnie Iyer all start the same way: Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith goes first to the winless Los Angeles Chargers, and Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker goes third to the Miami Dolphins.
After that, they split on the quarterbacks. Wasserman puts six in Round 1, Rogers four and Iyer three. Texas quarterback Arch Manning goes ninth to Arizona in one mock, sixth to the Jets in another and is not in Round 1 in the third. Notre Dame’s CJ Carr goes fourth, sixth or 16th.
Smith has now gone first in all six post-deadline mocks we have tracked this week, and Mestemaker has gone third in five of them. Indiana receiver Charlie Becker goes seventh to Washington in all three new mocks.
The top 18, side by side
All three use the same order for the first 18 picks, with the Jets picking three times and the Browns twice.
| Pick | Team | Wasserman | Rogers | Iyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chargers | Jeremiah Smith, WR | Jeremiah Smith, WR | Jeremiah Smith, WR |
| 2 | Titans | Colin Simmons, EDGE | Colin Simmons, EDGE | Dylan Stewart, EDGE |
| 3 | Dolphins | Drew Mestemaker, QB | Drew Mestemaker, QB | Drew Mestemaker, QB |
| 4 | Jets (from Colts) | Leonard Moore, CB | CJ Carr, QB | Leonard Moore, CB |
| 5 | Eagles | Dylan Stewart, EDGE | Dylan Stewart, EDGE | Colin Simmons, EDGE |
| 6 | Jets | CJ Carr, QB | Leonard Moore, CB | Arch Manning, QB |
| 7 | Commanders | Charlie Becker, WR | Charlie Becker, WR | Charlie Becker, WR |
| 8 | Buccaneers | Chris Cole, LB | Chris Cole, LB | Will Echoles, DT |
| 9 | Cardinals | Arch Manning, QB | Zereoue Williams, OT | Jordan Seaton, OT |
| 10 | Falcons | Cam Coleman, WR | Austin Simmons, QB | Cam Coleman, WR |
| 11 | Texans | Jordan Seaton, OT | Xavier Gilliam, DT | Trevor Goosby, OT |
| 12 | Saints | Will Echoles, DT | Will Echoles, DT | Xavier Gilliam, DT |
| 13 | Jets (from Cowboys) | Xavier Gilliam, DT | Greg Johnson, OL | Chris Cole, LB |
| 14 | Ravens | Ellis Robinson IV, CB | Ellis Robinson IV, CB | Ashton Hampton, CB |
| 15 | Raiders | Greg Johnson, OL | Ashton Hampton, CB | Greg Johnson, OL |
| 16 | Browns | A’Mauri Washington, DT | LaNorris Sellers, QB | CJ Carr, QB |
| 17 | Seahawks | Ashton Hampton, CB | Nick Marsh, WR | Yhonzae Pierre, EDGE |
| 18 | Browns (from Rams) | Dante Moore, QB | Devan Thompkins, EDGE | Carter Smith, OT |
Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons goes second to Tennessee for Wasserman and Rogers. Wasserman notes the Titans rank last in the NFL in team pass-rush grade. Rogers says Simmons “was a force through the first six games of the season” before an ankle injury, with 10.5 sacks. Iyer takes South Carolina’s Dylan Stewart instead, “the choice for now over Colin Simmons,” and sends Simmons to Philadelphia at No. 5.
The Jets’ three picks look different in each mock. Wasserman gives them Notre Dame cornerback Leonard Moore, Carr and Tennessee defensive tackle Xavier Gilliam. Rogers takes Carr, Moore and Minnesota center Greg Johnson. Iyer takes Moore, Manning and Georgia linebacker Chris Cole.
Picks 19 to 32
Wasserman and Rogers use the same order for the rest of Round 1. Iyer set his last 14 picks by the playoff picture before Week 10, so the same team picks at a different spot. The table lists each team with its pick number in each mock.
| Team | Wasserman | Rogers | Iyer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 19. Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa, LB | 19. Trevor Lauck, OL | 25. Lance Heard, OT |
| Patriots | 20. KJ Bolden, S | 20. KJ Bolden, S | 19. KJ Bolden, S |
| Cowboys (from Packers) | 21. Trevor Goosby, OT | 21. Kelley Jones, CB | 20. Ellis Robinson IV, CB |
| Giants | 22. David Stone, DT | 22. Justin Scott, DT | 27. David Stone, DT |
| Bengals | 23. Brauntae Johnson, S | 23. Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa, LB | 22. Kelley Jones, CB |
| Chiefs | 24. Zereoue Williams, OT | 24. Jordan Seaton, OT | 24. Devan Thompkins, EDGE |
| Eagles (from Jaguars) | 25. Carter Smith, OT | 25. Kade Pieper, OL | 28. Zereoue Williams, OT |
| Steelers | 26. Darian Mensah, QB | 26. KJ Duff, WR | 26. Nick Marsh, WR |
| Lions | 27. Kelley Jones, CB | 27. Kingston Lopa, S | 23. Jamari Johnson, TE |
| Vikings | 28. Trinidad Chambliss, QB | 28. Jadan Baugh, RB | 21. Jadan Baugh, RB |
| Broncos | 29. Jamari Johnson, TE | 29. Trey’Dez Green, TE | 29. Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa, LB |
| Titans (from Bears) | 30. Lance Heard, OT | 30. Lance Heard, OL | 30. Trevor Lauck, OT |
| 49ers | 31. Trevor Lauck, OT | 31. Jamari Johnson, TE | 31. Boubacar Traore, EDGE |
| Bills | 32. Nick Marsh, WR | 32. Cam Coleman, WR | 32. A’Mauri Washington, DT |
Georgia safety KJ Bolden goes to New England in all three. Rogers is the only one with Rutgers receiver KJ Duff, at 26 to Pittsburgh, even though Duff had season-ending ankle surgery this week. Rogers also has Iowa center Kade Pieper, Cal safety Kingston Lopa and Miami defensive tackle Justin Scott, who are not in the other two first rounds.
Where the quarterbacks go
| Quarterback | School | Wasserman | Rogers | Iyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | Oklahoma State | 3, Dolphins | 3, Dolphins | 3, Dolphins |
| CJ Carr | Notre Dame | 6, Jets | 4, Jets (from Colts) | 16, Browns |
| Arch Manning | Texas | 9, Cardinals | Not in Round 1 | 6, Jets |
| Austin Simmons | Missouri | Not in Round 1 | 10, Falcons | Not in Round 1 |
| LaNorris Sellers | South Carolina | Not in Round 1 | 16, Browns | Not in Round 1 |
| Dante Moore | Oregon | 18, Browns (from Rams) | Not in Round 1 | Not in Round 1 |
| Darian Mensah | Miami | 26, Steelers | Not in Round 1 | Not in Round 1 |
| Trinidad Chambliss | Ole Miss | 28, Vikings | Not in Round 1 | Not in Round 1 |
Wasserman has Mestemaker leading the country with 29 touchdown passes and says his “relative lack of experience at the position may offer the highest upside of any passer in this class.” Rogers writes that Mestemaker’s Oklahoma State tape “reminds me of Sam Darnold’s in his final year at USC.” Iyer calls him “the clear top QB prospect.”
On Manning, Wasserman says he has been “somewhat disappointing this season, but he may be turning the corner” after his game against Missouri. Iyer writes that the Jets “should be dreaming of another Manning winning multiple Super Bowls in New York.” Rogers leaves Manning out. At pick 28 he writes: “It feels more likely that Arch Manning and Dante Moore return to school with how their 2026 seasons have gone.”
Rogers also passes on Trinidad Chambliss there: “I like Trinidad Chambliss plenty, but his lack of size and older prospect age could very well push him out of round one.” He takes Florida running back Jadan Baugh for Minnesota instead. Wasserman puts Chambliss at that same pick and Miami’s Darian Mensah two spots earlier. Mensah leads FBS with a 76.8 percent completion rate, with 28 touchdowns and two interceptions.
Rogers is the only one with Missouri’s Austin Simmons (10th, Atlanta) and LaNorris Sellers (16th, Cleveland). He says Simmons “will be a 21 year old NFL rookie if he declares” and could return to Missouri. On Sellers and the Browns, he writes: “I like this landing spot and don’t think they would rush him into starting.”
How this fits with the big boards
The mocks line up with this week’s rankings. Dane Brugler’s midseason top 50 has Mestemaker second overall and Manning 25th. Jordan Reid’s updated top 50 has Mestemaker fifth, Carr 13th and Manning 37th. For how the picks moved at the deadline, see our 2027 draft order tracker, and for the earlier top-10 mock from Mel Kiper and Field Yates, see their midseason picks.
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