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Dane Brugler’s midseason 2027 top 50: Drew Mestemaker jumps from 30th to No. 2, Xavier Gilliam debuts at sixth and Arch Manning falls from third to 25th

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Dane Brugler's midseason 2027 top 50 keeps Jeremiah Smith at No. 1, moves Drew Mestemaker from 30th to second, adds Xavier Gilliam at sixth and drops Arch Manning, Dante Moore and Cam Coleman.

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Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith at Big Ten Football Media Days in Chicago.
Jeremiah Smith at Big Ten Football Media Days in Chicago, July 2026. Photo by Bobak Ha'Eri, CC-BY-3.0, resized.

Dane Brugler has released his midseason 2027 NFL draft top 50, his first update since his preseason board in August. Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith is still No. 1, and Brugler says Smith is the only player on the board who did not move. “Smith started at No. 1. He remains at No. 1. He will finish at No. 1,” he writes.

The biggest change is right behind him. Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker, 30th in August, is now No. 2 and the top quarterback. Texas quarterback Arch Manning, third in August, falls to 25th. Tennessee defensive tackle Xavier Gilliam was not on the August board and debuts at No. 6.

Eight quarterbacks are in the top 50, tied with edge rushers for the most at any position. There are only two running backs. Brugler also notes that because of the new five-in-five eligibility rule, only five players on the board are certain to be in the 2027 class. Everyone else could still go back to school.

Dane Brugler announcing his updated top 50 on Thursday.

The new top 25

RankPlayerPos.SchoolAugust rankMove
1Jeremiah SmithWROhio State1Same
2Drew MestemakerQBOklahoma State30Up 28
3Colin SimmonsEDGETexas7Up 4
4Leonard MooreCBNotre Dame2Down 2
5Charlie BeckerWRIndiana9Up 4
6Xavier GilliamDTTennesseeNot rankedNew
7Dylan StewartEDGESouth Carolina4Down 3
8Jordan SeatonOTLSU15Up 7
9Chris ColeLBGeorgia22Up 13
10CJ CarrQBNotre Dame27Up 17
11Ashton HamptonCBClemson21Up 10
12Boubacar TraoreEDGENotre Dame43Up 31
13Jadan BaughRBFlorida26Up 13
14Trey’Dez GreenTELSU11Down 3
15Ellis Robinson IVCBGeorgia12Down 3
16Will EcholesDTOle Miss13Down 3
17Nick MarshWRIndiana34Up 17
18Zereoue WilliamsOTUtahNot rankedNew
19Kade PieperIOLIowa28Up 9
20Austin SimmonsQBMissouriNot rankedNew
21Trevor LauckOTIowa14Down 7
22Trinidad ChamblissQBOle Miss35Up 13
23Kyngstonn Viliamu-AsaLBNotre DameNot rankedNew
24Reed HarrisWRArizona StateNot rankedNew
25Arch ManningQBTexas3Down 22

On Mestemaker, Brugler writes: “From high school backup to college walk-on to No. 1 pick? That might be Mestemaker’s journey, as unlikely a path as we have ever seen.” He says Mestemaker lacks experience but has “outstanding tools,” and that scouts believe there is a good chance he declares for the 2027 draft.

Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons moves up from seventh to third. Brugler points out that Simmons still leads the FBS with 10.5 sacks despite missing most of the last three games with an ankle injury. Notre Dame cornerback Leonard Moore slips from second to fourth but is still called “a potential top-five pick.” He has not allowed a touchdown or committed a penalty this season.

Indiana receiver Charlie Becker moves up from ninth to fifth. Brugler says Becker has no drops on 123 targets over the past two seasons. On Gilliam he writes, “There is a lot of Byron Murphy II to his game.” South Carolina edge rusher Dylan Stewart slips from fourth to seventh, and Brugler says an early-season suspension “will factor into his final draft grade.”

Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr climbs from 27th to 10th. Brugler writes, “I can’t help but see Brock Purdy in Carr’s processing and skill set.” The biggest climb on the board belongs to Notre Dame edge rusher Boubacar Traore, who goes from 43rd to 12th.

Where the eight quarterbacks landed

QuarterbackSchoolBrugler Nov. 12Brugler AugustJordan Reid Nov. 11
Drew MestemakerOklahoma State2305
CJ CarrNotre Dame102713
Austin SimmonsMissouri20Not ranked18
Trinidad ChamblissOle Miss223544
Arch ManningTexas25337
Darian MensahMiami274116
Dante MooreOregon32640
LaNorris SellersSouth Carolina413725

Brugler and Jordan Reid, whose updated top 50 came out a day earlier, agree on the order of the top two quarterbacks: Mestemaker first and Carr second. Brugler is higher on both, with Mestemaker at No. 2 compared to No. 5 on Reid’s list, and Carr at No. 10 compared to No. 13.

On Manning, Brugler calls 2026 “a mixed bag,” saying he has been too aggressive at times and too conservative at others. He has Oregon’s Dante Moore 32nd, down from sixth, and says Moore is still undecided about the draft after missing most of the season with a head injury. Missouri’s Austin Simmons is new at No. 20, and Brugler says he has “a whip for an arm,” like Cam Ward. Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss moves up to 22nd. Brugler says his size and age mean he “won’t be for everyone.”

Brugler says he is not quite a believer in South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers (41st), but he also can’t give up on him: “I still think he’s worth developing.” Brugler had already said in his October mailbag that a top 10 without a quarterback was possible. Now he has two quarterbacks in his top 10.

Dane Brugler on his choice for QB1 in the 2027 class, in an interview from mid-October.

Nos. 26 to 50

RankPlayerPos.SchoolAugust rankMove
26KJ BoldenSGeorgia16Down 10
27Darian MensahQBMiami41Up 14
28A.J. Holmes Jr.DTTexas TechNot rankedNew
29Anthonie KnappIOLNotre Dame39Up 10
30Jelani McDonaldSTexas33Up 3
31Greg JohnsonIOLMinnesota24Down 7
32Dante MooreQBOregon6Down 26
33Jackson HarrisWRLSUNot rankedNew
34Lance HeardOTKentuckyNot rankedNew
35Kelley JonesCBMississippi State42Up 7
36KJ DuffWRRutgersNot rankedNew
37Jamari JohnsonTEOregon18Down 19
38Ty BenefieldSLSU36Down 2
39Devan ThompkinsEDGEAlabamaNot rankedNew
40Luke ReynoldsTEVirginia TechNot rankedNew
41LaNorris SellersQBSouth Carolina37Down 4
42Yhonzae PierreEDGEAlabama10Down 32
43Cam ColemanWRTexas5Down 38
44Princewill UmanmielenEDGELSUNot rankedNew
45Elijah PaigeOTUSCNot rankedNew
46Fred JohnsonLBSouth CarolinaNot rankedNew
47Will HeldtEDGEClemson38Down 9
48David StoneDTOklahoma32Down 16
49Clev LubinEDGELouisville47Down 2
50Wayshawn ParkerRBUtahNot rankedNew

Who fell, who is new and who dropped out

PlayerPos.August rankNovember rank
Cam ColemanWR543
Yhonzae PierreEDGE1042
Dante MooreQB632
Arch ManningQB325
Jamari JohnsonTE1837
David StoneDT3248
KJ BoldenS1626

Texas receiver Cam Coleman falls the furthest, from fifth to 43rd. Brugler says Coleman “might be the captain of the ‘leaves you wanting more’ team this year.” Alabama edge rusher Yhonzae Pierre, 10th in August, is now 42nd. Brugler still praises his physicality but says his pass-rush plan off the edge is underdeveloped.

Fifteen players are new to the board: Xavier Gilliam (6), Zereoue Williams (18), Austin Simmons (20), Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa (23), Reed Harris (24), A.J. Holmes Jr. (28), Jackson Harris (33), Lance Heard (34), KJ Duff (36), Devan Thompkins (39), Luke Reynolds (40), Princewill Umanmielen (44), Elijah Paige (45), Fred Johnson (46) and Wayshawn Parker (50). Brugler calls LSU’s Jackson Harris, who played at Stanford and Hawaii before LSU, “one of the biggest risers this season.”

Fifteen players dropped out: Trevor Goosby (8), Kewan Lacy (17), Sammy Brown (19), Tae Johnson (20), A’Mauri Washington (23), Justin Scott (25), Jaylen McClain (29), Ahmad Hardy (31), Kenyatta Jackson Jr. (40), Zach Lutmer (44), Jacarrius Peak (45), Bryant Wesco Jr. (46), Austin Siereveld (48), Ahmad Moten Sr. (49) and Ryan Coleman-Williams (50). Texas tackle Trevor Goosby, eighth in August, is the highest of them.

The five players with no college eligibility left after this season are Utah tackle Zereoue Williams (18), Chambliss (22), Texas Tech defensive tackle A.J. Holmes Jr. (28), Alabama’s Devan Thompkins (39) and Louisville edge rusher Clev Lubin (49). Rutgers receiver KJ Duff (36) will miss the rest of the season after high-ankle surgery.

What it means for the top picks

Brugler’s board fits the post-deadline mocks at the top. Smith went first to the Chargers in all three of the mocks we compared on Wednesday, and Mel Kiper and Field Yates’ midseason top 10 had Mestemaker third and Carr fourth. Brugler wrote this week that the Titans, Jets, Eagles and Browns all have more than one 2027 first-round pick. For who picks where, see our 2027 draft order tracker.

The 2027 draft runs April 29 to May 1 in Washington, D.C.

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