Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith is the clearest No. 1 in the 2027 NFL Draft class when you put the mock drafts together. A consensus board that combines 25 first-round mocks published between April 27 and Oct. 14 has Smith first, with an average draft slot of 2.2 and a spot in the first round of every one of those mocks.
The board, built by Ultimate Big Board, ranks 103 prospects by where they land across those mocks, how wide their range is and how often they make the first round. It is a picture of where the mock drafts stand at the midpoint of the college season, and it shows how slowly that consensus catches up to the players who have risen this fall.
The consensus top 20
| Rank | Prospect | Pos. | School | Avg. pick | Pick range | In first round | Most common team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Smith | WR | Ohio State | 2.2 | 1–5 | 100% | Dolphins |
| 2 | Arch Manning | QB | Texas | 2.7 | 1–13 | 88% | Cardinals |
| 3 | Colin Simmons | EDGE | Texas | 5.5 | 2–12 | 100% | Buccaneers |
| 4 | Dante Moore | QB | Oregon | 5.4 | 1–14 | 96% | Jets |
| 5 | Leonard Moore | CB | Notre Dame | 6.1 | 2–10 | 100% | Titans |
| 6 | Dylan Stewart | EDGE | South Carolina | 8.8 | 4–30 | 100% | Saints |
| 7 | Cam Coleman | WR | Texas | 8.8 | 4–17 | 92% | Commanders |
| 8 | Trevor Goosby | OT | Texas | 9.5 | 2–24 | 96% | Texans |
| 9 | Jordan Seaton | OT | LSU | 13.0 | 3–28 | 100% | Falcons |
| 10 | Brendan Sorsby | QB | Texas Tech | 6.3 | 5–8 | 12% | Browns |
| 11 | Darian Mensah | QB | Miami | 9.2 | 2–21 | 48% | Cardinals |
| 12 | Will Echols | DL | Mississippi | 7.0 | 7 | 4% | Saints |
| 13 | Ellis Robinson IV | CB | Georgia | 14.0 | 6–29 | 88% | Jets |
| 14 | CJ Carr | QB | Notre Dame | 10.9 | 1–24 | 48% | Jets |
| 15 | Julian Sayin | QB | Ohio State | 10.7 | 1–31 | 36% | Browns |
| 16 | LaNorris Sellers | QB | South Carolina | 10.9 | 4–25 | 36% | Browns |
| 17 | Charlie Becker | WR | Indiana | 14.6 | 6–26 | 72% | Cowboys |
| 18 | Will Echoles | DL | Ole Miss | 14.4 | 4–30 | 68% | Jets |
| 19 | David Stone | DL | Oklahoma | 15.5 | 10–27 | 76% | Jets |
| 20 | Drew Mestemaker | QB | Oklahoma State | 12.9 | 3–30 | 32% | Browns |
The order is not a straight sort by average pick. Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby’s average slot is 6.3, but he appears in the first round of only 12 percent of the mocks, so he sits 10th. Ole Miss defensive lineman Will Echols is 12th on the strength of a single mock that took him seventh.
Arch Manning’s median is still No. 1
Texas quarterback Arch Manning is second, and his median slot across the mocks is still the first overall pick. His range is the story: he goes anywhere from first to 13th, and he is out of the first round in 12 percent of the mocks counted. That matches a week in which several expert mocks dropped him, including Ryan Wilson and Ran Carthon’s first-round mock with six quarterbacks and no Manning.
Oregon’s Dante Moore is the next quarterback at fourth, with a median of third overall and a first-round appearance in 96 percent of the mocks. He slipped one spot over the last two weeks as Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons moved up to third.
Mestemaker and Carr are still catching up
The biggest gap between the consensus and the newest boards is Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker. Dane Brugler made him his QB1 this week, and Mike Renner’s updated top 150 has him fourth overall. In the consensus he is 20th, in the first round of only 32 percent of the mocks, with many of the mocks counted dating back to the spring and summer, before his breakout.
Notre Dame’s CJ Carr is in a similar spot. He is 14th, with a range from first overall to 24th and a first-round appearance in 48 percent of the mocks. Miami’s Darian Mensah is also at 48 percent, while Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss fell five places to 21st over the last two weeks.
In all, 11 quarterbacks are in the top 25, and the Cleveland Browns are the most common landing spot for six of them: Sorsby, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers, Mestemaker, Chambliss and Missouri’s Austin Simmons.
Who moved over the last two weeks
Alabama receiver Ryan Williams made the biggest jump, up 54 places to 44th. South Carolina tackle Jacarrius Peak climbed 24 spots to 24th, Clemson receiver Bryant Wesco Jr. rose 24 places to 57th and Michigan defensive lineman John Henry Daley moved up 23 to 50th. Georgia linebacker Chris Cole gained 11 places to 43rd.
South Carolina cornerback Vicari Swain had the biggest drop, down 36 places to 58th. Miami defensive lineman Justin Scott fell 18 spots to 70th, Rutgers receiver KJ Duff slid 17 to 68th and Tennessee defensive tackle Xavier Gilliam dropped 10 places to 34th. Gilliam is sixth on Renner’s board but in the first round of only 12 percent of the consensus mocks.
No published comments yet. Start the conversation.