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Week 10 power rankings consensus: Bills stay No. 1 after Monday night, Jaguars jump to third after their trades and the Vikings fall to a tie for 10th

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We averaged five Week 10 power rankings, all updated after Bills-Vikings. Buffalo is first on three lists at 1.6, the 49ers are second, the Jaguars third after Monday's trades, and Minnesota slides from sixth to a tie for 10th.

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Bills vs. Vikings Week 9 highlights thumbnail
Image: still from the official Bills vs. Vikings Week 9 game highlights, NFL on YouTube.

The Buffalo Bills are No. 1 in our Week 10 power rankings consensus after Monday night’s 23-6 win in Minnesota. Three of the five full lists put the 7-1 Bills first, and their 1.6 average edges the San Francisco 49ers (2.0). The Jacksonville Jaguars, who traded for Jessie Bates III and Jordan Davis on Monday, are third, and one list has them first.

We averaged five full 1-to-32 rankings, all updated after the Bills-Vikings game: Pete Prisco’s, Ralph Vacchiano’s, Frank Schwab’s, Vinnie Iyer’s and Walt’s at WalterFootball. The Minnesota Vikings fall from sixth in our Week 9 consensus to a tie for 10th after Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards, and the 0-8 Los Angeles Chargers are last on all five lists.

The Week 10 consensus order

ConsensusTeamRecordAverage rankPriscoVacchianoSchwabIyerWaltWeek 9 consensus
1Buffalo Bills7-11.6113121
2San Francisco 49ers7-12.0232212
3Jacksonville Jaguars6-23.836163T-4
4Chicago Bears7-24.0454343
5Kansas City Chiefs6-25.6646577
6Denver Broncos7-25.8527411T-4
7Cincinnati Bengals6-27.878511810
8Detroit Lions6-29.281091098
9Green Bay Packers6-39.81098121013
T-10Minnesota Vikings6-210.0117117146
T-10Seattle Seahawks5-410.01411109611
12Los Angeles Rams5-411.213131213514
13Pittsburgh Steelers6-211.69121381612
14New England Patriots5-413.612151414139
15New York Giants5-2-115.8151416151916
16Houston Texans3-516.0191615181223
17Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-617.8161817211717
18Cleveland Browns5-418.4171718162415
19Dallas Cowboys4-519.0182020172024
20Baltimore Ravens4-520.4222223201521
T-21Carolina Panthers3-521.2201921252120
T-21Las Vegas Raiders4-521.2242119192318
23Atlanta Falcons3-622.8212425222219
24New Orleans Saints3-523.2232322232526
25Washington Commanders2-5-124.2272624261825
26Arizona Cardinals3-625.4252526242722
27New York Jets2-728.22631302826T-29
28Philadelphia Eagles2-728.42828292730T-29
T-29Miami Dolphins1-729.2293027312928
T-29Tennessee Titans1-729.2312928302827
31Indianapolis Colts2-729.6302731293131
32Los Angeles Chargers0-832.0323232323232

Records are through Week 9. The Week 9 column is the five-list consensus in our Week 9 roundup, which used a different set of writers. Ties in the average share a rank. All five lists came out before Tuesday’s trade deadline at 4 p.m. ET, so any late deals are not reflected.

Bills first on three lists, Jaguars first on one

Prisco, Vacchiano and Iyer all start with Buffalo. Vacchiano called the Monday win “Exhibit A for why I think they’re the best team in football,” saying the Bills showed they can win shootouts and also “old-fashioned, grind-it-out games.” Prisco wrote that if the defense keeps growing, the Bills are “even more of a threat to win it all.” Walt has them second and Schwab third.

Schwab is the one writer who moves Jacksonville to the top. He wrote that the Jaguars “already looked like a Super Bowl contender before the trades. Now they look like the favorite,” pointing to a soft remaining schedule. Prisco and Walt have the 6-2 Jaguars third, while Vacchiano and Iyer have them sixth, so their range runs from first to sixth.

San Francisco is first for Walt, second for Prisco, Schwab and Iyer and third for Vacchiano. Schwab wrote that the 49ers “didn’t do anything to fall out of the top spot” on his list, and that Kyle Shanahan’s work through another season of injuries “should not be ignored again.”

Instant reaction to the Jaguars’ trades for Jordan Davis and Jessie Bates III. Rankings in this story are from Pete Prisco, Ralph Vacchiano, Frank Schwab, Vinnie Iyer and WalterFootball, published Nov. 9 and 10.

Minnesota drops to a tie for 10th

The Vikings were sixth in the Week 9 consensus and are now tied with the Seattle Seahawks at 10.0. Vacchiano and Iyer have them seventh, Prisco and Schwab 11th and Walt 14th. Prisco summed it up in two sentences: “The defense is special. The offense is a disaster.”

Schwab wrote that it is “hard to remember the last time a team that was 6-2 with one of the top two defenses in the NFL felt this hopeless.” Vacchiano went further on the trade deadline: “If the Vikings don’t trade for a quarterback by the deadline, they are out of their minds.” He added that Brian Flores’ defense “is the only reason they’re not ranked 10 spots lower.” Our Bills-Vikings recap has the game.

Packers and Texans climb

The Green Bay Packers move from 13th to ninth at 9.8 after the win in New England, ranging from eighth (Schwab) to 12th (Iyer). Vacchiano jumped them six spots to ninth and wrote that “it’s hard to find a quarterback playing better than Jordan Love.” Prisco moved them into his top 10 and wrote, “When they get Micah Parsons back, look out.” With all four NFC North teams at six wins or more, Vacchiano put the Bears, Vikings, Packers and Detroit Lions all in his top 10.

The Houston Texans are the biggest climber, from 23rd to 16th at 16.0, after C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns against the Chargers. Walt has the 3-5 Texans 12th, the highest of the five, and Prisco has them 19th. Prisco wrote that with a soft schedule coming, the Texans “aren’t dead yet.”

Where the five lists split

TeamRecordBest rankWorst rankGap
Denver Broncos7-22 (Vacchiano)11 (Walt)9
Washington Commanders2-5-118 (Walt)27 (Prisco)9
Seattle Seahawks5-46 (Walt)14 (Prisco)8
Los Angeles Rams5-45 (Walt)13 (Prisco, Vacchiano, Iyer)8
Pittsburgh Steelers6-28 (Iyer)16 (Walt)8
Cleveland Browns5-416 (Iyer)24 (Walt)8

Walt is the outlier on most of these. He has the Los Angeles Rams fifth while the others have them 12th or 13th, the Seahawks sixth, the Washington Commanders 18th and the Baltimore Ravens 15th, a jump he made because Jacoby Brissett is joining the Ravens to fill in at quarterback. He has the 7-2 Denver Broncos 11th and says they “might be the luckiest team in the NFL,” while Vacchiano has them second after a fifth straight win.

The Pittsburgh Steelers, off their bye, range from eighth (Iyer) to 16th (Walt). Schwab noted that the Steelers can sweep the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night and take a big step toward the AFC North title. The Bengals are seventh in the consensus at 7.8, and Prisco wrote that Joe Burrow “is on his way to a possible MVP.”

The bottom of the board

The Chargers are 32nd on every list after a 0-8 start. Prisco asked, “Should Jim Harbaugh go?” and Vacchiano wrote that the Chargers have turned down teams calling about trading players for draft picks. The Indianapolis Colts are 31st at 29.6, with the Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans tied for 29th at 29.2.

The Philadelphia Eagles (28th) and New York Jets (27th) round out the bottom six. The Jets range from 26th (Prisco and Walt) to 31st (Vacchiano), who called them “shambolic” after the loss in Kansas City. The Chargers hold the No. 1 pick in the 2027 draft order, and our draft order page shows where every team picks after Week 9.

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