The Buffalo Bills are No. 1 in our Week 10 power rankings consensus after Monday night’s 23-6 win in Minnesota. Three of the five full lists put the 7-1 Bills first, and their 1.6 average edges the San Francisco 49ers (2.0). The Jacksonville Jaguars, who traded for Jessie Bates III and Jordan Davis on Monday, are third, and one list has them first.
We averaged five full 1-to-32 rankings, all updated after the Bills-Vikings game: Pete Prisco’s, Ralph Vacchiano’s, Frank Schwab’s, Vinnie Iyer’s and Walt’s at WalterFootball. The Minnesota Vikings fall from sixth in our Week 9 consensus to a tie for 10th after Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards, and the 0-8 Los Angeles Chargers are last on all five lists.
The Week 10 consensus order
| Consensus | Team | Record | Average rank | Prisco | Vacchiano | Schwab | Iyer | Walt | Week 9 consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | 7-1 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | 2.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-2 | 3.8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 3 | T-4 |
| 4 | Chicago Bears | 7-2 | 4.0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6-2 | 5.6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Denver Broncos | 7-2 | 5.8 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 | T-4 |
| 7 | Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 7.8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Detroit Lions | 6-2 | 9.2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Green Bay Packers | 6-3 | 9.8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| T-10 | Minnesota Vikings | 6-2 | 10.0 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| T-10 | Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 10.0 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 11.2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 11.6 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | New England Patriots | 5-4 | 13.6 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| 15 | New York Giants | 5-2-1 | 15.8 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 16 |
| 16 | Houston Texans | 3-5 | 16.0 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 23 |
| 17 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3-6 | 17.8 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 17 |
| 18 | Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 18.4 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Dallas Cowboys | 4-5 | 19.0 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 24 |
| 20 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 20.4 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| T-21 | Carolina Panthers | 3-5 | 21.2 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| T-21 | Las Vegas Raiders | 4-5 | 21.2 | 24 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 23 | Atlanta Falcons | 3-6 | 22.8 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | 3-5 | 23.2 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 26 |
| 25 | Washington Commanders | 2-5-1 | 24.2 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 25 |
| 26 | Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | 25.4 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 22 |
| 27 | New York Jets | 2-7 | 28.2 | 26 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 26 | T-29 |
| 28 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2-7 | 28.4 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 30 | T-29 |
| T-29 | Miami Dolphins | 1-7 | 29.2 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 28 |
| T-29 | Tennessee Titans | 1-7 | 29.2 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 27 |
| 31 | Indianapolis Colts | 2-7 | 29.6 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 |
| 32 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0-8 | 32.0 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
Records are through Week 9. The Week 9 column is the five-list consensus in our Week 9 roundup, which used a different set of writers. Ties in the average share a rank. All five lists came out before Tuesday’s trade deadline at 4 p.m. ET, so any late deals are not reflected.
Bills first on three lists, Jaguars first on one
Prisco, Vacchiano and Iyer all start with Buffalo. Vacchiano called the Monday win “Exhibit A for why I think they’re the best team in football,” saying the Bills showed they can win shootouts and also “old-fashioned, grind-it-out games.” Prisco wrote that if the defense keeps growing, the Bills are “even more of a threat to win it all.” Walt has them second and Schwab third.
Schwab is the one writer who moves Jacksonville to the top. He wrote that the Jaguars “already looked like a Super Bowl contender before the trades. Now they look like the favorite,” pointing to a soft remaining schedule. Prisco and Walt have the 6-2 Jaguars third, while Vacchiano and Iyer have them sixth, so their range runs from first to sixth.
San Francisco is first for Walt, second for Prisco, Schwab and Iyer and third for Vacchiano. Schwab wrote that the 49ers “didn’t do anything to fall out of the top spot” on his list, and that Kyle Shanahan’s work through another season of injuries “should not be ignored again.”
Minnesota drops to a tie for 10th
The Vikings were sixth in the Week 9 consensus and are now tied with the Seattle Seahawks at 10.0. Vacchiano and Iyer have them seventh, Prisco and Schwab 11th and Walt 14th. Prisco summed it up in two sentences: “The defense is special. The offense is a disaster.”
Schwab wrote that it is “hard to remember the last time a team that was 6-2 with one of the top two defenses in the NFL felt this hopeless.” Vacchiano went further on the trade deadline: “If the Vikings don’t trade for a quarterback by the deadline, they are out of their minds.” He added that Brian Flores’ defense “is the only reason they’re not ranked 10 spots lower.” Our Bills-Vikings recap has the game.
Packers and Texans climb
The Green Bay Packers move from 13th to ninth at 9.8 after the win in New England, ranging from eighth (Schwab) to 12th (Iyer). Vacchiano jumped them six spots to ninth and wrote that “it’s hard to find a quarterback playing better than Jordan Love.” Prisco moved them into his top 10 and wrote, “When they get Micah Parsons back, look out.” With all four NFC North teams at six wins or more, Vacchiano put the Bears, Vikings, Packers and Detroit Lions all in his top 10.
The Houston Texans are the biggest climber, from 23rd to 16th at 16.0, after C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns against the Chargers. Walt has the 3-5 Texans 12th, the highest of the five, and Prisco has them 19th. Prisco wrote that with a soft schedule coming, the Texans “aren’t dead yet.”
Where the five lists split
| Team | Record | Best rank | Worst rank | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 7-2 | 2 (Vacchiano) | 11 (Walt) | 9 |
| Washington Commanders | 2-5-1 | 18 (Walt) | 27 (Prisco) | 9 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 6 (Walt) | 14 (Prisco) | 8 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 5 (Walt) | 13 (Prisco, Vacchiano, Iyer) | 8 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 8 (Iyer) | 16 (Walt) | 8 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 16 (Iyer) | 24 (Walt) | 8 |
Walt is the outlier on most of these. He has the Los Angeles Rams fifth while the others have them 12th or 13th, the Seahawks sixth, the Washington Commanders 18th and the Baltimore Ravens 15th, a jump he made because Jacoby Brissett is joining the Ravens to fill in at quarterback. He has the 7-2 Denver Broncos 11th and says they “might be the luckiest team in the NFL,” while Vacchiano has them second after a fifth straight win.
The Pittsburgh Steelers, off their bye, range from eighth (Iyer) to 16th (Walt). Schwab noted that the Steelers can sweep the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night and take a big step toward the AFC North title. The Bengals are seventh in the consensus at 7.8, and Prisco wrote that Joe Burrow “is on his way to a possible MVP.”
The bottom of the board
The Chargers are 32nd on every list after a 0-8 start. Prisco asked, “Should Jim Harbaugh go?” and Vacchiano wrote that the Chargers have turned down teams calling about trading players for draft picks. The Indianapolis Colts are 31st at 29.6, with the Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans tied for 29th at 29.2.
The Philadelphia Eagles (28th) and New York Jets (27th) round out the bottom six. The Jets range from 26th (Prisco and Walt) to 31st (Vacchiano), who called them “shambolic” after the loss in Kansas City. The Chargers hold the No. 1 pick in the 2027 draft order, and our draft order page shows where every team picks after Week 9.

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