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WEEK 9
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Jaguars, Vikings and Commanders share the NFL turnover-margin lead at plus-7 after Week 8, while the Colts fall to minus-11

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Jacksonville, Minnesota and Washington are tied at plus-7 after Week 8, Tampa Bay took four interceptions off Atlanta, and Indianapolis is last at minus-11.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Week 8 highlights thumbnail
Image: still from the official Colts vs. Jaguars Week 8 game highlights, NFL on YouTube.

Jacksonville, Minnesota and Washington are tied for the NFL’s best turnover margin after Week 8, each at plus-7. The Jaguars got there by taking the ball away three times and giving it up once in a 42–7 win over Indianapolis, which moved them from plus-5 to plus-7 and from a tie for third to a share of first. Minnesota, alone on top a week ago, stayed at plus-7 in a 19–15 loss at Detroit in which both teams had one giveaway.

The Colts are last again, and further back than a week ago. Indianapolis fell from minus-9 to minus-11 with three giveaways and one takeaway, and has 15 giveaways to four takeaways, tied with Philadelphia for the fewest in the league. Jacksonville visits Baltimore on Thursday night, which is 03:15 on Friday in Cairo.

NFL turnover margin after Week 8, all 32 teams

RankTeamRecordGTakeawaysINTGiveawaysMarginWeek 8After Week 7Week 9 (Cairo time)
T-1Jacksonville5–271295+7+2+5at Baltimore, Fri 03:15
T-1Minnesota6–171285+70+7vs. Buffalo, Tue 03:15
T-1Washington2–4–171043+7+1+6vs. LA Rams, Sun 20:00
T-4Las Vegas4–481368+5+1+4at San Francisco, Sun 23:25
T-4Pittsburgh6–281378+5+1+4Bye
T-4Kansas City5–271065+50+5vs. NY Jets, Sun 20:00
T-7Tampa Bay3–58161212+4+3+1at Chicago, Mon 03:20
T-7Green Bay5–38151011+4−1+5at New England, Sun 23:25
T-7Denver6–281076+40+4at Carolina, Sun 20:00
T-10Detroit5–27754+30+3at Miami, Sun 20:00
T-10Houston2–57633+3Bye+3at LA Chargers, Sun 23:05
12NY Jets2–68816+2−1+3at Kansas City, Sun 20:00
13Cincinnati5–2711410+1−2+3vs. Atlanta in Madrid, Sun 16:30
T-14Carolina3–47104100+1−1vs. Denver, Sun 20:00
T-14Arizona3–588380−2+2at Seattle, Sun 23:25
T-14Baltimore4–488480−1+1vs. Jacksonville, Fri 03:15
T-17Seattle4–4813814−10−1vs. Arizona, Sun 23:25
T-17Chicago6–2811512−10−1vs. Tampa Bay, Mon 03:20
T-17Tennessee1–7811812−1+2−3Bye
T-17Cleveland5–3810611−1−10at New Orleans, Sun 20:00
T-17Dallas3–58637−1+2−3at Indianapolis, Sun 20:00
T-22Buffalo6–179411−2+1−3at Minnesota, Tue 03:15
T-22NY Giants4–2–179611−2Bye−2at Philadelphia, Sun 20:00
T-24San Francisco6–177310−3Bye−3vs. Las Vegas, Sun 23:25
T-24Miami1–67649−30−3vs. Detroit, Sun 20:00
T-26New Orleans2–579413−4Bye−4vs. Cleveland, Sun 20:00
T-26LA Rams4–488712−4+1−5at Washington, Sun 20:00
T-26Philadelphia2–68438−4−1−3vs. NY Giants, Sun 20:00
T-29LA Chargers0–7711617−6−1−5vs. Houston, Sun 23:05
T-29Atlanta3–5810316−6−3−3vs. Cincinnati in Madrid, Sun 16:30
31New England5–388515−70−7vs. Green Bay, Sun 23:25
32Indianapolis2–684215−11−2−9vs. Dallas, Sun 20:00

Turnover margin is the number of interceptions and fumble recoveries a team takes away, minus the interceptions it throws and the fumbles it loses. The Week 8 column is the margin from that game alone, and the Colts’ minus-11 is the lowest in the league by four. Pittsburgh, Las Vegas and Kansas City are tied for fourth at plus-5. Washington and Houston have the fewest giveaways in the league, with three apiece.

The biggest moves of Week 8

TeamAfter Week 7Takeaways in Week 8Giveaways in Week 8Week 8 gameAfter Week 8
Tampa Bay+141Atlanta (W 16–0)+4
Jacksonville+531Indianapolis (W 42–7)+7
Tennessee−342at Cincinnati (L 36–43)−1
Dallas−320Arizona (L 30–33)−1
Cincinnati+324Tennessee (W 43–36)+1
Arizona+202at Dallas (W 33–30)0
Indianapolis−913at Jacksonville (L 7–42)−11
Atlanta−314at Tampa Bay (L 0–16)−6

Tampa Bay had the best turnover day of the week. The Buccaneers intercepted Atlanta four times and gave the ball up once in a 16–0 win, which took them from plus-1 to plus-4 and the Falcons from minus-3 to minus-6. Tampa Bay has 16 takeaways, the most in the league, and its 12 interceptions are also the most. Atlanta has 16 giveaways, second only to the Chargers, and its 11 interceptions thrown are the most.

Cincinnati went the other way. The Bengals gave the ball away four times, three of them interceptions, and still beat Tennessee 43–36. That cut them from plus-3 to plus-1, while the Titans forced four turnovers and moved from minus-3 to minus-1. The Chargers have the most giveaways in the league, 17, and are 0–7.

Does the margin match the standings?

TeamsCountCombined recordWin pct.
Plus margin1356–40–1.582
Even (Baltimore, Carolina, Arizona)310–13.435
Minus margin1654–67–1.447

Mostly, yes. The 13 teams on the plus side are a combined 56–40–1, and the 16 on the minus side are 54–67–1. In single games the link is stronger. In the 88 games this season where one team had fewer turnovers than the other, that team is 69–18–1. Week 8 went 7–3, with Green Bay beating Carolina 27–19 despite three giveaways to two, Cincinnati winning with four, and Dallas losing 33–30 to Arizona after a game with no turnovers of its own.

The exceptions are the big ones. San Francisco and Buffalo are both 6–1, at minus-3 and minus-2, and Chicago is 6–2 at minus-1. New England is 5–3 at minus-7 with 15 giveaways, tied with the Colts for the third most behind Atlanta and the Chargers. Washington is plus-7 with only three giveaways in seven games and is 2–4–1, and Tampa Bay is plus-4 at 3–5.

Turnovers by week

WeekGamesTurnoversPer game
116442.75
216291.81
316452.81
416392.44
515442.93
614362.57
714251.79
814433.07
Season1213052.52

Week 8 was the messiest week of the season after the cleanest. There were 43 turnovers in 14 games, or 3.07 a game, compared with 1.79 in Week 7 and 2.52 for the season. Denver’s 28–24 win over Kansas City was the only game with no turnovers at all, and four games finished even: that one, Minnesota at Detroit, New England at Miami and Chicago at Seattle.

What to watch in Week 9

Jacksonville’s trip to Baltimore opens the week on Thursday night, and the Ravens are at even margin. Minnesota hosts Buffalo on Monday night, 03:15 on Tuesday in Cairo, and Washington hosts the Rams on Sunday at 20:00. Indianapolis, at minus-11, plays Dallas in Indianapolis at the same time.

Tampa Bay visits Chicago on Sunday night, 03:20 on Monday in Cairo. The Chargers, with the most giveaways in the league, host Houston, which is tied for the fewest, at 23:05. Pittsburgh and Tennessee are on byes.

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